Modeling time series can be complicated however in this video I show how to create a simple model using trend and cycle as components. The same method could be used to add a seasonal component as well. This model is multiplicative meaning that the components are are multiplied together. In a later video I will build a model that is additive in the sense of a more traditional linear regression approach where the components are added together instead of multiplied.
Excel file for this project:
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1tFCb0X6W68Hf7PgFZJrzr9bym1Rsgs9M/view?usp=sharing
Support this channel:
https://streamlabs.com/dimitribianco
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Multiplicative Decomposition Time Series Model (TS E4) | NatokHD