Probability and Prediction

Thinking slides: https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1oNZXwbWWKGprT5cyA6S0axp4w7jsBUuqGX1g7_udGZE/template/preview The Wonder of Science: https://thewonderofscience.com/mlccc25 Thinking in Causation - Level 5 - Probability and Prediction In this video Paul Andersen shows conceptual thinking in a mini-lesson on probability and prediction. Two examples are included in the video and two additional examples are included in the linked thinking slides. TERMS: Cause - a thing that gives rise to an event Effect - an event Relationship- interconnection between parts of a system Probability - the likelihood of something happening or being the case This progression is based on the Crosscutting Concept elements from the NRC document A Framework for K-12 Science Education. "Phenomena may have more than one cause, and some cause and effect relationships in systems can only be described using probability." Source: https://www.nextgenscience.org/