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S4:E2 What is expectation?

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May 1, 2023
15:33

This is part of a free course in Undergraduate Probability: https://www.math.uci.edu/~rvershyn/teaching/ugp/ugp.html 0:00 Recall the definition of a random variable X, 1:49 its distribution of X, 2:16 and the probability mass function of X. 3:32 Expectation is a single value that "best describes" X. 4:10 To define expectation, let's consider a motivating example. 7:14 A formal definition of the expected value 8:01 If all values are equally likely, expectation reduces to arithmetic mean, 8:49 and in general it is a weighted average. 9:06 In physics, it corresponds to the center of mass 9:30 Example: the expected number of heads in 3 coin flips is 1.5 10:35 Example: the expected winnings in a lottery

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