SOA Exam P Question 21 | Conditional Probability

Upon arrival at a hospital’s emergency room, patients are categorized according to their condition as critical, serious, or stable. In the past year: (i) 10% of the emergency room patients were critical; (ii) 30% of the emergency room patients were serious; (iii) the rest of the emergency room patients were stable; (iv) 40% of the critical patients died; (vi) 10% of the serious patients died; and (vii) 1% of the stable patients died. Given that a patient survived, calculate the probability that the patient was categorized as serious upon arrival. (A) 0.06 (B) 0.29 (C) 0.30 (D) 0.39 (E) 0.64 You can find the link to the questions below: https://www.soa.org/globalassets/assets/Files/Edu/edu-exam-p-sample-quest.pdf The link to the answers below: https://www.soa.org/globalassets/assets/Files/Edu/edu-exam-p-sample-sol.pdf Check out my other channel Rumi's Life: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCJmFvrltr0Xht150O4lgTIA Email: [email protected]