N N Taleb's Probability Questions

105K subscribers

78 videos

These are mini lectures explaining technical points in Taleb's INCERTO (Antifragile, The Black Swan, etc.) They are split into "Technical Notes" and "Tutoria...

Latest Videos

Alexander Taleb Why Do Planes Crash

Stephen Wolfram visits RWRI 20 (The Real World Risk Summer School, 2025)

Discussion with Pierre Zalloua on 'Ancestors'

MINI LECTURE 19 - Conditional Probability & A Fallacy in Cardiology Concerning LDL

Does the Ketogenic Diet Work for Brain Cancer Finding Signal in a Small Sample.

The IQ debate, a conclusion

Universa's Bernoulli for Portfolio Simulation Correcting the Empirical Distribution

Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 4

Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 3

Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 2

Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 1

STEPHEN WOLFRAM VISITS RWRI 19, SUMMER SCHOOL 2024

How to bluff when you don't know what you are talking about.

MINI LECTURE 18 How to build a positive definite correlation matrix for Monte Carlo simulations

MINI LECTURE 17 Maximum Ignorance Probability (a bit more technical)

MINI LECTURE 16 On the Absurdity of Standard Genetics Reports.

Stephen Wolfram visits RWRI 18 (Summer Workshop)

MINI LECTURE 15 - Conditional vs. unconditional correlation twin studies overestimate heredity.

MINI TUTORIAL How to look at risk ratios & deal with disinformation Saturated Fats & Nina Teicholz

A medical paper that does not replicate. Why

No, Covid is not an old person's problem.

QUANTITATIVE FINANCE 2 We don't use Black-Scholes, the simpler derivation vindicating Bachelier.

QUANTITATIVE FINANCE 1 Deriving Black-Sholes via Itô's lemma (the dynamic hedging approach)

Disinformation and Fooled by Randomness

QUANT FINANCE 1 - Why We Never Use the Black Scholes Equation, 1

Conversation with Yaneer on Covid with mild disagreements.

MINI LECTURE 14 A First Course on Fragility, Convexity, and Antifragility (Nontechnical).

MINI LECTURE 13b - Technical Appendix. How to fix the problem of power laws with compact support.

MINI LECTURE 13 - Claims that Violence Has Dropped Are Not Statistical

MINI LECTURE 12 How to Look at the Risks of Covid Vaccines